Forecasting malaria dynamics based on causal relations between control interventions, climatic factors, and disease incidence in western Kenya (Publications)
drivers and investigate their effects, interaction strength, and suitability ranges on malaria incidence. Monthly malaria cases were collected at St. Elizabeth Lwak Mission Hospital. Intervention coverage [...] Short-term forecasting of malaria incidence was performed using state-space reconstruction. RESULTS: We observed causal links between climatic drivers, bed net use, and malaria incidence. LSTD lagged over [...] BACKGROUND: Malaria remains one of the deadliest diseases worldwide,...
AnophelesModel: an R package to interface mosquito bionomics, human exposure and intervention effects with models of malaria intervention impact (Publications)
semi-field studies of malaria transmission have gathered geographic-specific information about mosquito ecology, behaviour and their sensitivity to interventions. Mathematical models of malaria transmission can [...] incorporate such data to infer the likely impact of vector control interventions and hence guide malaria control strategies in various geographies. To facilitate this process and make model predictions [...] addition, it offers formatted outputs ready to use in downstream analyses...
Malaria rapid tests, febrile illness management, and child mortality across sub-Saharan African countries (Publications)
IMPORTANCE: A prompt malaria diagnosis is crucial for the management of children with febrile illness in sub-Saharan African countries, where malaria remains a leading cause of mortality among children [...] distribution of point-of-care rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for malaria has transformed practice, but limited systematic evidence exists on how malaria RDTs have affected the management of febrile illness and [...] deaths per 1000 child-years). The effects of malaria RDT distribution on...
Potential impact of climatic factors on malaria in Rwanda between 2012 and 2021: a time-series analysis (Publications)
change and malaria dynamics, which hinders the development of effective national malaria response strategies. Addressing this critical gap, this study analyses how climatic factors influence malaria transmission [...] BACKGROUND: Malaria remains an important public health problem, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. In Rwanda, where malaria ranks among the leading causes of mortality and morbidity, disease transmission [...] temperature and cumulative rainfall on malaria incidence in Rwanda from...
Spatio-temporal dynamics of malaria in Rwanda between 2012 and 2022: a demography-specific analysis (Publications)
eventually interrupt malaria transmission, the disease remains a pressing public health problem, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. This study presents a detailed spatio-temporal analysis of malaria transmission [...] insights into the evolving patterns of malaria and to inform and tailor effective public health strategies. METHODS: The study used yearly aggregated data of malaria cases from the Rwanda health management [...] temporal patterns of relative risks and to identify clusters of malaria...
The effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on malaria mortality at different spatial scales in western Kenya, 2008-2019 (Publications)
relatively small size of the HDSS, there was spatial variation in malaria mortality that peaked every May-June. The rapid decline in malaria mortality was associated with bed nets, and finer spatial scale [...] BACKGROUND: Malaria mortality is influenced by several factors including climatic and environmental factors, interventions, socioeconomic status (SES) and access to health systems. Here, we investigated [...] ed the joint effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on under-five malaria...
Methodological framework for assessing malaria risk associated with climate change in Côte d'Ivoire (Publications)
Malaria is the leading cause of morbidity among children under five years of age and pregnant women in Côte d'Ivoire. We assessed the geographical distribution of its risk in all climatic zones of the [...] main driving components affecting the risk: Hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Considering the malaria impact chain, various variables were identified for each of the risk factors and for each variable [...] or equatorial (tropical transition regime) in the North and the mountainous (humid)...