A simulation model of African Anopheles ecology and population dynamics for the analysis of malaria transmission (Publications)
BACKGROUND: Malaria is one of the oldest and deadliest infectious diseases in humans. Many mathematical models of malaria have been developed during the past century, and applied to potential interventions [...] However, malaria remains uncontrolled and is increasing in many areas, as are vector and parasite resistance to insecticides and drugs. METHODS: This study presents a simulation model of African malaria vectors
Malaria chemoprophylaxis recommendations for immigrants to Europe, visiting relatives and friends: a Delphi method study (Publications)
relatives (VFRs) from Europe to malaria endemic countries are increasing and include long-term and second generation immigrants, who represent the major burden of malaria cases imported back into Europe [...] Europe. Most recommendations for malaria chemoprophylaxis lack a solid evidence base, and often fail to address the cultural, social and economic needs of VFRs. METHODS: European travel medicine experts, who [...] in this study included questions about professional experience with VFRs,...
Modelling the cost-effectiveness of mass screening and treatment for reducing <em>Plasmodium falciparum</em> malaria burden (Publications)
cases, mass treatment strategies are not likely to succeed in interrupting Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission. However, this does not preclude their use to reduce disease burden. Mass screening [...] incremental cost-effectiveness (ICER) of wellconducted MSAT campaigns as a strategy for P. falciparum malaria disease-burden reduction in settings with varying receptivity (ability of the combined vector population [...] were estimated in different sub-Saharan African settings using...
A tool box for operational mosquito larval control: preliminary results and early lessons from the Urban Malaria Control Programme in Dar es Salaam,... (Publications)
be protected from malaria by controlling aquatic stages of mosquitoes if cost-effective and scalable implementation systems can be designed. METHODS: A recently initiated Urban Malaria Control Programme [...] levels, respectively. One year of community-based larviciding reduced transmission by the primary malaria vector, Anopheles gambiae s.l., by 31% (95% C.I. = 21.6-37.6%; p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: This novel [...] novel management, monitoring and evaluation system for implementing routine...
Artesunate-mefloquine combination therapy in acute <em>Plasmodium falciparum</em> malaria in young children: a field study regarding neurological and... (Publications)
BACKGROUND: Mefloquine-artesunate combination therapy for uncomplicated falciparum malaria is one of the treatments used in African children. Data concerning neurological safety in adults and children [...] study was conducted among African children between 10 and 20 kg with acute uncomplicated falciparum malaria. They were treated over three consecutive days with a paediatric fixed-dose combination of artesunate [...] RESULTS: From December 2007 to March 2009, 220 children with uncomplicated...
Time to move from presumptive malaria treatment to laboratory-confirmed diagnosis and treatment in African children with fever (Publications)
declining malarial transmission in parts of sub-Saharan Africa, declining proportions of fevers due to malaria, and the availability of rapid diagnostic tests mean it may be time for this policy to change. This [...] to support a shift toward laboratory-confirmed rather than presumptive diagnosis and treatment of malaria in children under five
Simulated impact of RTS,S/AS01 vaccination programs in the context of changing malaria transmission (Publications)
INTRODUCTION: The RTS,S/AS01 pre-erythrocytic malaria vaccine is in phase III clinical trials. It is critical to anticipate where and how it should be implemented if trials are successful. Such planning [...] planning may be complicated by changing levels of malaria transmission. METHODS/RESULTS: Computer simulations were used to examine RTS,S/AS01 impact, using a vaccine profile based on phase II trial results,
Temporal correlation between malaria and rainfall in Sri Lanka (Publications)
potential use for malaria prediction. However, the relationship between rainfall and the number of malaria cases is indirect and complex. METHODS: The statistical relationships between monthly malaria case count
Age-patterns of malaria vary with severity, transmission intensity and seasonality in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and pooled analysis (Publications)
P. falciparum clinical malaria, hospital admissions with malaria and malaria-diagnosed mortality. Studies were allocated to a 3x2 matrix of intensity and seasonality of malaria transmission. Maximum likelihood [...] falciparum malaria were concentrated in the youngest age groups across all settings. Despite recently observed declines in malaria transmission in several countries, which will shift the burden of malaria cases [...] for each outcome. Clinical malaria incidence was relatively evenly...