Dynamical Modelling

The Dynamical Modelling research group focuses on understanding infection dynamics, in the context of real-world disease and health systems, using a range of computational tools from statistics, mathematics and computer science. The group’s main focus has been on Plasmodium falciparum malaria, and on developing a general platform for comparing, fitting and evaluating micro-simulation models of malaria dynamics. The platform is used to quantitatively predict the effects of different interventions and integrated control programmes. We are also actively involved in designing and analysing field studies, and are diversifying our modelling activities to consider a wider range of vector-borne diseases, bacterial infections and system interventions. In addition, the Malaria Modelling Resource Centre is being developed in order to provide an outreach and response capacity to the malaria intervention community.