Plasmodium vivax Transmission Model
The Swiss TPH team has developed a model for Plasmodium vivax transmission to support decision-making and advocacy in countries where this parasite is dominant. This compartmental model accounts specifically for the liver stages of P. vivax malaria and it has recently been refined to include imported infections as well as treatment of blood and/or liver stages parasites. Additional ongoing development of the model include the account for delay in treatment, the inclusion of additional interventions and extensions to the stochastic framework for estimating probabilities of elimination under different scenarios.
The model can be calibrated to country specific data on reported local and imported cases, and it can be used to simulate the expected impact of malaria treatment schemes, vector control strategies, reactive interventions or mass drug administration.
It is publicly available as an R package that the user can apply on their own data.
This model is currently being used in the Swiss TPH team to simulate elimination scenarios in countries in Mesoamerica and in the Greater Mekong Region.
Additional information are available in a dedicated publication.
Latin America and Caribbean,
East Asia and Pacific
Involved Countries: Panama, Lao People's Democratic Republic (the), Cambodia